September 26, 2022 Alan Apthorp
After closing Friday below $80/bbl for the first time since January, crude markets are continuing their selloff. CFTC data shows that all oil products are seeing reduced buying among institutional investors (hedge funds, money managers, etc), with diesel demand shedding the equivalent of 39 million barrels of holdings over the past 3 weeks.
Demand data seems to echo market sentiments. Over the past two weeks, diesel demand has shown a sharp drop, posting the two lowest levels of 2022. Throughout the year, demand has shown a steady decline but remained within the “healthy” range between 3.5-4.5 MMbpd. The latest readings have been as low as 3.2 MMbpd, a sharp break from historical levels and more in tune with COVID-19 levels.
On the more bullish side, the US is bracing for a major hurricane set to make landfall this week. Hurricane Ian will hit on Wednesday or Thursday, bringing heavy rain and strong winds to Florida and the Gulf Coast. Most offshore oil rigs are further west in the Gulf of Mexico, so the impact on oil production should be minimal. Florida’s supply markets are connected to the rest of the country by barge, rather than by pipeline, so delayed barge shipments are the only major impact expected to arise due to Hurricane Ian.
This article is from https://mansfield.energy